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The possibility of Comcast taking over ITV has raised apprehensions about the consequences on the UK's public service broadcasting, a situation that the broadcaster's new chief executive, moving from a high-ranking position at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s ad sales head, Priya Dogra, will now be looked to to spearhead efforts to block her former employer’s acquisition bid to safeguard Channel 4.

The potential combination of Sky and ITV’s TV business would leave Channel 4 a much smaller player in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reviving discussion of the need to reconsider some form of tie-up with the BBC for future viability.

Foremost Worry: The Future of News

However, it is the likely impacts on the future of news provision that are causing the most urgent concern for many within the television industry.

The surprise news last month that Comcast, which owns assets including Universal Studios and acquired Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, is a logical business move. Traditional broadcasters are facing a deep-seated viability crisis as audiences and revenues continue to decisively move to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing unease among media watchers, with particular concern for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn acquisition of ITV’s broadcasting arm and streaming service, which would end 70 years of autonomy, is full of regulatory, political, and competition problems.

Immediately, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its sprawling regional news operation—and become the biggest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a dominant share—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be significantly influential in the news output of most of the main non-BBC broadcasters.

“If a deal is completed, the fate of ITN is an interesting one that will become a priority politically,” notes one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, upping its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that commitment draws closer to concluding, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to fully fund Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to lose money of as much as £80m.

It is believed that any deal to buy ITV would include guarantees not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to alter the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.

“There are certainly questions about media diversity,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast understand ways of solving these problems.”

An Endangered Model

British TV executives have previously cautioned about the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “threatened entity” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had exceeded ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

A Call for Collaboration

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the context of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, indicates the need for closer collaboration between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK wants and needs its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a vital strategic need. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that obligates them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming titan, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

The CMA's Role

Any deal will prompt an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will expand the view of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get approved,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

The Precarious Position of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a core budgetary challenge,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly defied expectations, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to reach its limits.”

The continuing debate highlights a wider question for British media: how to maintain a domestic voice and a diverse public service ecosystem in an increasingly globalised and digitally dominated landscape.